Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Yastremska
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🎾 All-Court across 323 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Ostapenko
1
Yastremska
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Yastremska's 22%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | L 64 57 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 57 64 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 75 26 36 |
| Marina Stakusic | L 46 76 26 | L 46 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | L 36 06 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | W 63 76 |
| Camila Osorio | W 63 61 | W 36 76 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 26 | L 46 76 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 57.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 48.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.1 | 7.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 50.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.2% | 37.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.7% | 53.3% |
| BP Converted % | 55.2% | 47.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 50.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Dayana Yastremska face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
Dayana Yastremska is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anastasia Zakharova (May 5).
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