ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Clarke
🧱 The Wall
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,630 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Federico Arnaboldi here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Clarke | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | +2.1% | -8.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -1.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Clarke
0
Arnaboldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaboldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Clarke's 33%).
| Opponent | Clarke | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Giorgio Tabacco | L 63 36 36 | W 63 64 |
| Milos Karol | L 64 46 26 | W 26 63 63 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 64 36 61 | W 76 46 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Clarke | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.8% | 61.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 67.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.2% | 55.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.5% | 44.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35% | 41.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 55.7% |
| BP Converted % | 48.9% | 52.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.1 | 17.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.8 | 25.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.9% | 68% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 54.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
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Tristan Boyer
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Iannis Miletich
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Petr Nesterov
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 17
Sergio Callejon Hernando
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May 24
Giorgio Tabacco
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 18
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
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May 10
Carlo Alberto Caniato
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May 9
Match summary
Jay Clarke meets Federico Arnaboldi on May 4 in the Round of 32 at the Abruzzo Open in Francavilla al Mare. Clarke, ranked 207, will compete on clay against Arnaboldi, currently 412th in the ATP rankings. The two have never faced each other.
Clarke has gone 2-3 over his last five matches but sits at 10-10 on clay surfaces overall. Arnaboldi has won three of his last five and holds a 6-14 clay record; both players lost recently to Raul Brancaccio. The two share wins over Andrea Picchione and Shintaro Mochizuki, though this gives limited read on their relative form.
Clarke builds points through consistency and defensive positioning, a style that demands patience on the baseline. Arnaboldi operates differently, waiting for openings to attack off the ground. Clarke's clay record shows equilibrium while Arnaboldi struggles on the surface; Clarke's recent stretch has stalled just as Arnaboldi has found some momentum. The match will hinge on whether Clarke's steadiness can neutralize Arnaboldi's willingness to take risks.
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