WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kasintseva
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 62% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 458 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.80u | -0.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paolini
0
Kasintseva
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasintseva's 33%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 61 62 | L |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 36 63 67 |
| Veronika Kudermetova | W 62 75 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 60.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 57.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 39.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 16.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 31.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 25% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 43.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 38% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva face off in the Round of 64 at Madrid on Clay.
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Jasmine Paolini is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tatjana Maria (Jun 23).
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Marie Weckerle (Jun 17).
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