ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 64% vs 🧱 The Wall across 437 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 3.73 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | +1.93u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Sinner
0
Moller
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moller's 33%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | W 62 61 | W 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 36 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 63.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 65.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 46.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.6% | 57.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 35.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 54.3% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 43.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 19.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 32.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 56.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 49.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 95% | 58% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Match summary
Jannik Sinner opens his Mutua Madrid Open campaign against Elmer Moller in the Round of 32 on clay on April 26. The world number one has won 18 consecutive matches and sits on a perfect record across his last five and last ten outings. Moller, ranked 169th, comes in off four matches in fourteen days, having won three straight before arriving in Madrid.
This will be the first meeting between Sinner and Moller. On clay, Sinner has posted a 17-3 record with a 85% win rate, while Moller holds a 12-8 mark at 60%. Both players have faced Frances Tiafoe, Francisco Cerundolo, Joao Fonseca, and Marin Cilic in recent weeks, with Sinner defeating all four and Moller losing to each of them.
Sinner constructs points from the baseline with heavy topspin and directional precision, building his way to aggressive finishes. Moller absorbs pace and constructs angles through compact, defensive positioning, relying on consistency to outlast opponents. The matchup asks Sinner to maintain the tempo and court geometry that have defined his run, while Moller must absorb his rhythm without surrendering the net.
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