ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
🎯 Baseliner
Moller
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,197 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–2 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.10 | 4.12 |
| ROI % | +0.7% | -4.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.17u | -0.49u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Sinner
0
Moller
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moller's 20%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | W 62 61 | W 63 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 63 64 | L 26 16 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 36 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 26 26 |
| Tommy Paul | W 16 60 63 | L 36 36 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 62.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.8% | 63.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 47.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 4.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.7% | 58.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 18.3% | 38.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 42.2% | 53.4% |
| BP Converted % | 17.3% | 44% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15 | 19.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.5 | 31.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55% | 67.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44% | 50.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 42% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Benjamin Bonzi
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Alexander Zverev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Match summary
Jannik Sinner opens his Mutua Madrid Open campaign against Elmer Moller in the Round of 32 on clay on April 26. The world number one has won 18 consecutive matches and sits on a perfect record across his last five and last ten outings. Moller, ranked 169th, comes in off four matches in fourteen days, having won three straight before arriving in Madrid.
This will be the first meeting between Sinner and Moller. On clay, Sinner has posted a 17-3 record with a 85% win rate, while Moller holds a 12-8 mark at 60%. Both players have faced Frances Tiafoe, Francisco Cerundolo, Joao Fonseca, and Marin Cilic in recent weeks, with Sinner defeating all four and Moller losing to each of them.
Sinner constructs points from the baseline with heavy topspin and directional precision, building his way to aggressive finishes. Moller absorbs pace and constructs angles through compact, defensive positioning, relying on consistency to outlast opponents. The matchup asks Sinner to maintain the tempo and court geometry that have defined his run, while Moller must absorb his rhythm without surrendering the net.
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