ATP Masters 1000 · 1st Round Qualifying · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
⚙️ Grinder
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -28.2% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.54u | -0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Fearnley
0
Kotov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fearnley's 0%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Clement Chidekh | L 36 62 26 | W 16 61 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fearnley | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 62.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.1% | 66.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 41.9% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65% | 64.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.7% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.4% | 45.9% |
| BP Converted % | 49.1% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 18.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.1 | 32.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.4% | 56.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47% | 48.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 40% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Luca Nardi
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Dane Sweeny
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Jacob Fearnley and Pavel Kotov face off in the 1st Round Qualifying at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Jacob Fearnley leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Jacob Fearnley is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Benjamin Bonzi (Jun 11).
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
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