ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Adelaide
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draper
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 59% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,346 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jack Draper here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.67 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.12u | -4.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Draper
0
Baez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Draper's 25%).
| Opponent | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 61 | W 63 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 16 57 | L 46 06 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 64 57 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.4% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.2% | 64.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.6% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 8.2 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 74.3% | 61.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 22.7% | 35.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.2% | 55.7% |
| BP Converted % | 34.9% | 52.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.4 | 14.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.2 | 23.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79% | 57.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.1% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Novak Djokovic
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Francisco Cerundolo
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Roberto Bautista Agut
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Matchup overview
Jack Draper and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at Adelaide on Hard.
Jack Draper leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Jack Draper is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniil Medvedev (Mar 12).
Sebastian Baez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tristan Boyer (Jun 3).
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