Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 75% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 593 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Iga Swiatek here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–0 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +74.3% | -59.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.23u | -2.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
7
Swiatek
1
Kasatkina
Feb 8, 2026
Doha
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 23, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 21, 2022
Doha
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 14, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 21, 2021
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 62 75 | W 75 63 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 62 75 | L 67 63 26 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 67 63 | L 26 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | L 06 64 36 |
| Daria Snigur | W 61 62 | L 36 63 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 62 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 36 57 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 62 | W 76 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 64 | L 57 64 46 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 61 62 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.3% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.9% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.8% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.4% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.8% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 68% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 55.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 58% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Iga Swiatek and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 32 at Australian Open on Hard.
Iga Swiatek leads 7-1 over 8 previous meetings.
Iga Swiatek is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Jessica Pegula (May 5).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jaqueline Cristian (May 17).
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