ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Paris
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -58.9% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -8.25u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Gaston
0
Alcaraz
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Gaston's 0%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 67 64 63 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 16 63 36 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 16 | L 67 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | W 76 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 64 26 26 | W 61 26 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gaston | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.9% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.2% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.5% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.2% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.3 | 29.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68% | 65.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Hugo Gaston and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Paris on Hard.
Hugo Gaston leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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