ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Santiago
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,137 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Holger Rune here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.67 |
| ROI % | - | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.50u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
4
Rune
3
Baez
Oct 3, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 16, 2025
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
May 13, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 26, 2023
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 8, 2022
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 9, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 8, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rune has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baez's 50%).
| Opponent | Rune | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 67 63 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 76 76 | L 60 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rune | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 0% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 64.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 1.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 61.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 0% | 35.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 0% | 55.7% |
| BP Converted % | 0% | 52.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 14.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 23.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 57.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 0% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
Stockholm · Round of 16
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 16
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 32
Oct 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Matchup overview
Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at Santiago on Clay.
Holger Rune leads 4-3 over 7 previous meetings.
Holger Rune is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Oct 17).
Sebastian Baez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tristan Boyer (Jun 3).
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