WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Quebec City
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Watson
🎯 Baseliner
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 57% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 65 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Leylah Fernandez here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Watson | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.95 |
| ROI % | - | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Watson
1
Fernandez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Watson and Fernandez posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Watson | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 26 | L 76 46 67 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Watson | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 0% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 65.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 47.8% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 4.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 67.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 0% | 34.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 0% | 54.4% |
| BP Converted % | 0% | 44.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 0% | 51% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Heather Watson and Leylah Fernandez face off in the Round of 16 at Quebec City on Hard.
Heather Watson leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Heather Watson is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Feb 23).
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Leolia Jeanjean (May 17).
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