ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Kigali 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ouden
🛡️ The Spoiler
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,522 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ouden | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -30.1% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.31u | -1.96u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Ouden
0
Pavlovic
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ouden has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Pavlovic's 0%).
| Opponent | Ouden | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Elahi Galan | L 16 57 | L 67 26 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 46 76 63 | L 16 63 36 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 02 | L 26 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 46 63 | L 67 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 63 26 26 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ouden | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64% | 53.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.5% | 76.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.5% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 7.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.1% | 61.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 26.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.3% | 47% |
| BP Converted % | 51% | 44.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.7 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.7 | 36 |
| Net Pts Won % | 38.5% | 68.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 49% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 36% | 47% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Elahi Galan
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32
Jun 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Tomas Barrios Vera
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Harry Wendelken
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Guy Den Ouden and Luka Pavlovic face off in the Semifinals at Kigali 2 on Clay.
Guy Den Ouden leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Guy Den Ouden is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anton Matusevich (Jun 13).
Luka Pavlovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Elahi Galan (Jun 10).
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