ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Porto 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ouden
🛡️ The Spoiler
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,775 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gilles Arnaud Bailly here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ouden | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -30.1% | -32.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.31u | -2.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Ouden
0
Bailly
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ouden's 0%).
| Opponent | Ouden | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 36 76 36 | L 36 76 36 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 46 36 | W 63 46 64 |
| Marco Trungelliti | L 16 26 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ouden | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.5% | 59.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.5% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.1% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.3% | 54.9% |
| BP Converted % | 51% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.7 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.7 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 38.5% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 36% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Guy Den Ouden and Gilles Arnaud Bailly face off in the Finals at Porto 2 on Clay.
Guy Den Ouden leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Guy Den Ouden is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anton Matusevich (Jun 13).
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
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