ITF M25 · Semifinals · M25 Sintra
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Luque
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gilles Arnaud Bailly here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 4.87 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Bailly
0
Luque
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Luque's 50%).
| Opponent | Bailly | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Poullain | W 75 62 | W 76 36 61 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 61 63 | L 75 67 06 |
| Diogo Marques | W 76 75 | W 64 63 |
| Pedro Araujo | W 60 61 | L 57 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bailly | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 69.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.1% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 46.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.4% | 62.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 38% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.9% | 48.9% |
| BP Converted % | 58% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Rafael Izquierdo Luque face off in the Semifinals at M25 Sintra on Hard.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
Rafael Izquierdo Luque is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (Jun 13).
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