ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Sintra
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Marques
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Gilles Arnaud Bailly plays Diogo Marques.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 3.39 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -1.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Bailly
0
Marques
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Marques's 0%).
| Opponent | Bailly | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Poullain | W 75 62 | L 46 67 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | W 61 75 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bailly | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 70.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.1% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 52.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.4% | 63.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.9% | 55.9% |
| BP Converted % | 58% | 41.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Diogo Marques face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Sintra on Hard.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
Diogo Marques is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Toufik Sahtali (Jun 1).
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