ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Porto 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Canas
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,775 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gilles Arnaud Bailly here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Canas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 8–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -22.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -4.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Bailly
0
Canas
Mar 12, 2026
VII CHALLENGER COSTA CALIDA REGION DE MURCIA
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 30, 2025
Porto 2
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Bailly and Canas posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Bailly | Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 46 36 | L 76 16 16 |
| Henri Squire | W 57 75 75 | L 67 36 |
| Mika Petkovic | W 64 64 | W 61 63 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 61 62 | W 57 75 61 |
| Adrian Andreev | W 62 64 | W 62 61 |
| Federico Iannaccone | L 67 36 | W 60 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bailly | Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.1% | 62.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.4% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 33.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.9% | 49.9% |
| BP Converted % | 58% | 43% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 21.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 39.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 73.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 40% | 47% |
Last five matches per player
Kimmer Coppejans
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 16
Jun 11
Calvin Hemery
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32
Jun 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Royan Atlantique Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Henri Squire
Neckarcup 2.0 · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Max Schoenhaus
Neckarcup 2.0 · Round of 16
Jun 4
Matchup overview
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Alejandro Moro Canas face off in the Semifinals at Porto 2 on Clay.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
Alejandro Moro Canas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kimmer Coppejans (Jun 11).
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