ATP 250 · Semifinals · Estoril
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Korda
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,896 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | +6.1% | +86.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.04u | +3.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
4
Tiafoe
4
Korda
Feb 11, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · Round of 16
May 30, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 3, 2024
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 21, 2023
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Aug 17, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 30, 2022
Estoril
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 9, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 7, 2018
New York
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Korda posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 60 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | W 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 36 64 76 | W 46 63 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 62 | W 76 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 64 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 46 62 | W 75 60 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | L 46 67 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 46 36 57 | L 57 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 67% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 45.7% |
| Aces / Match | 6.2 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.5% | 52.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.5% | 22.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.6 | 21.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.5 | 28.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 72.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 64% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Hubert Hurkacz
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Eliot Spizzirri
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diego Dedura
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 17
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 16
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 5
Matchup overview
Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda face off in the Semifinals at Estoril on Clay.
Frances Tiafoe leads 4-4 over 8 previous meetings.
Frances Tiafoe is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 31).
Sebastian Korda is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Martin Landaluce (Mar 16).
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