Grand Slam · Round of 64 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🎯 Baseliner
Bergs
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 264 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Flavio Cobolli here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +5.6% | -27.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.18u | -4.05u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Cobolli
0
Bergs
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bergs's 40%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 61 64 | L 46 46 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 75 | W 57 62 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 26 57 |
| Marin Cilic | W 64 64 67 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 36 | W 63 16 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 63 | W 64 61 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 36 | L 46 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 57 63 64 26 76 | W 75 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cobolli | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.4% | 59.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.3% | 70.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 52.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.8% | 52.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.1% | 31% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.9% | 50.7% |
| BP Converted % | 43.4% | 37.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.4 | 18.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.6 | 23.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.9% | 60.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Tomas Machac
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 12
Roberto Bautista Agut
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Terence Atmane
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Alejandro Tabilo
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Final
May 3
Match summary
Flavio Cobolli, ranked 16th in the world, will face Zizou Bergs, ranked 40th, in the Round of 16 at the BMW Open by Bitpanda on April 15. The match will take place on outdoor clay courts in Munich. Cobolli and Bergs have met once before, with Cobolli winning that encounter. The two players know each other well from the professional circuit.
Zizou Bergs has shown stronger recent momentum than Flavio Cobolli heading into this matchup. Bergs won 3 of his last 5 matches and has played four matches in the past two weeks, while Cobolli has won only 2 of his last 5 and appears to be finding his rhythm after a slower period. Both players are coming off matches just one day prior.
Flavio Cobolli brings an all-court game to the clay, holding a solid 65% win rate on the surface this season. Zizou Bergs operates as a frontrunner who plays with aggression when ahead but can struggle when trailing, with a 55% record on clay recently. The contrast in their approaches should create an interesting stylistic battle.
The head-to-head history leans in Cobolli's favor based on their one prior meeting. However, recent form suggests this will be competitive, with Bergs carrying momentum into the Round of 16. Both players are well-matched in terms of experience at this level of competition.
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