ATP 250 · Finals · Bucharest
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🧱 The Wall across 708 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Flavio Cobolli here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +13.4% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.81u | -4.50u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Cobolli
0
Baez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Baez's 57%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 57 | W 64 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 57 63 64 26 76 | W 63 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 57 64 | L 46 06 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 67 61 64 | W 76 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 26 57 | W 75 63 |
| Tomas Machac | W 61 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 64 62 | L 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cobolli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 68.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.7% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.3% | 60.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 42.1% | 54.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.1 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.6 | 23.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 58.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Flavio Cobolli and Sebastian Baez face off in the Finals at Bucharest on Clay.
Flavio Cobolli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Flavio Cobolli is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Frances Tiafoe (Jun 9).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
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