ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,645 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Felix Auger-Aliassime plays Jannik Sinner.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 23–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.10 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +1.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.46u | +0.28u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Auger-Aliassime
5
Sinner
Apr 10, 2026
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 2, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Finals
Sep 4, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 14, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
May 5, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 92% | 23/25 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 68% | 17/25 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 44% | 11/25 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 16% | 4/25 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 16% | 4/25 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 4% | 1/25 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Auger-Aliassime's 60%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 | W 61 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 76 63 | W 62 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | L 36 61 36 | W 64 57 60 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 76 46 76 | W 63 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 76 76 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 67 63 63 | W 62 76 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 75 63 | W 63 75 |
| Alex De Minaur | L 36 26 | W 75 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 64.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 75.6% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.9% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 8.3 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.1% | 61.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.9% | 19.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.4% | 44.1% |
| BP Converted % | 31.6% | 20.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 13.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.2 | 23 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 53.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.7% | 44.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Marin Cilic
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Terence Atmane
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Marton Fucsovics
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Arthur Fils
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Alexander Zverev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Machac
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Ugo Humbert
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jannik Sinner (Apr 10).
Jannik Sinner is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Carlos Alcaraz (Apr 12).
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