ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Zhuhai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karlovskiy
⚙️ Grinder
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luca Castelnuovo here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karlovskiy | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -44.7% | -80.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.34u | -5.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Karlovskiy
0
Castelnuovo
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Karlovskiy | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 73.2% | 57.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66% | 76.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44% | 61.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.6% | 59.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.3% | 32.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.9% | 51.5% |
| BP Converted % | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 87.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 54.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 40% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Franco Agamenone
Intaro Open · Round of 32
Jun 22
Milos Karol
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Fares Zakaria
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
RISE CENTURION OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 1
Matchup overview
Evgeny Karlovskiy and Luca Castelnuovo face off in the Round of 16 at Zhuhai on Hard.
Evgeny Karlovskiy leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Evgeny Karlovskiy is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Robin Catry (May 18).
Luca Castelnuovo is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Franco Agamenone (Jun 22).
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