ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Nur Sultan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karlovskiy
⚙️ Grinder
Paulson
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrew Paulson here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karlovskiy | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -44.7% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.34u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Karlovskiy
1
Paulson
Nov 6, 2022
Bratislava 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19, 2022
Nur Sultan
H Hard · Round of 32
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Karlovskiy | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 73.2% | 65.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44% | 37.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.6% | 47.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.3% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| BP Converted % | 51.3% | 31.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 27 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 45.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 51.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 45.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 40% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Michalski
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Open Menorca · Round of 16
Apr 3
Fabrizio Andaloro
Open Menorca · Round of 32
Apr 2
Federico Arnaboldi
Open Menorca · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 1
Matchup overview
Evgeny Karlovskiy and Andrew Paulson face off in the Round of 32 at Nur Sultan on Hard.
Evgeny Karlovskiy leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Evgeny Karlovskiy is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Robin Catry (May 18).
Andrew Paulson is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Michalski (May 31).
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