ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Milan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,782 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Juan Pablo Varillas here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.61 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | +23.9% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.11u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Moller
0
Varillas
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 25%).
| Opponent | Moller | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 76 62 | W 63 75 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 06 64 | L 26 36 |
| Zdenek Kolar | L 36 16 | L 67 76 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Moller | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.6% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.2% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.9% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.7% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.4% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.3% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 43.3% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.6 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.8% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 58% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Elmer Moller and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Round of 16 at Milan on Clay.
Elmer Moller leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Elmer Moller is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Luca Potenza (Jun 23).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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