WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · New Haven
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 75% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 593 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elise Mertens here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -21.0% | -59.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.63u | -2.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
2
Mertens
6
Kasatkina
Feb 8, 2026
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 31, 2023
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 2, 2021
San Jose
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 22, 2019
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 21, 2017
New Haven
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 36 57 |
| Ann Li | W 67 61 62 | L 76 26 46 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 61 | W 46 63 60 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 60 64 | L 67 60 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 60 | W 76 64 |
| Lulu Sun | W 62 63 | L 57 62 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 76 | W 75 61 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mertens | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.2% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 44.7% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elise Mertens and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 16 at New Haven on Hard.
Elise Mertens leads 2-6 over 8 previous meetings.
Elise Mertens is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Panna Udvardy (May 5).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jaqueline Cristian (May 17).
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