WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Osaka
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
👑 The Complete Package
Bucsa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elise Mertens here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 1.01 |
| ROI % | -21.0% | +1.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.63u | +0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Mertens
2
Bucsa
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Bucsa's 38%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 75 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 62 61 | W 64 63 |
| Ella Seidel | W 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Donna Vekic | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 61 76 | L 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 67 | L 06 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | L 63 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mertens | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.4% | 66.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 56% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 0.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.2% | 44.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.7% | 34% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 58% |
| BP Converted % | 44.7% | 40.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa face off in the Round of 32 at Osaka on Hard.
Elise Mertens leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Elise Mertens is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Panna Udvardy (May 5).
Cristina Bucsa is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Shuai Zhang (May 17).
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