ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Denis Shapovalov plays Stan Wawrinka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -50.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -3.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Shapovalov
1
Wawrinka
Oct 12, 2020
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 12, 2019
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Wawrinka posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 26 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 16 64 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 26 76 75 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 26 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 52.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 28% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 50.1% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 43.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 22.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 34.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 67.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 48.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Stefano Travaglia
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Sebastian Ofner
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Stan Wawrinka face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Stan Wawrinka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jesper de Jong (May 25).
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