ATP 250 · Round of 16 · St. Petersburg
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Denis Shapovalov plays Matteo Berrettini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +9.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Shapovalov
1
Berrettini
Jun 13, 2024
Stuttgart
G Grass · Round of 16
Sep 13, 2018
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Shapovalov's 17%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 16 67 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 60 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | W 75 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 57 | L 75 26 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 64.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 68.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 41.9% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 14.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 23.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 48.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Francisco Comesana
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Arthur Rinderknech
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Marton Fucsovics
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Berrettini face off in the Round of 16 at St. Petersburg on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Matteo Berrettini is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (Jun 3).
Share this match
