WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · St. Petersburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Siegemund
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 666 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Laura Siegemund here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | -59.3% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.37u | +1.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Kasatkina
0
Siegemund
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siegemund has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Kasatkina's 43%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 06 75 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 46 26 |
| Irina Camelia Begu | W 62 46 61 | W 64 60 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 57 | W 67 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 74.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 58.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 47.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 37.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 44.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 50.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Laura Siegemund face off in the Round of 16 at St. Petersburg on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jaqueline Cristian (May 17).
Laura Siegemund is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Karolina Pliskova (May 5).
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