ITF M25 · Quarterfinals · M25 Sharm ElSheikh
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Borg
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Ostapenkov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Borg |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | +58.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.05u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Ostapenkov
1
Borg
Feb 16, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 29, 2025
M25 Sharm ElSheikh
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borg has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ostapenkov's 33%).
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Vadym Ursu | L 16 67 | W 75 62 |
| Jack Loge | L 46 64 67 | L 61 26 67 |
| Louis Tessa | W 62 42 | W 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenkov | Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 62.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 64.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.5% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46% | 55.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 26.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.1% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 39.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 51 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 78 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 52.4% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 48% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 70% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Ostapenkov and Leo Borg face off in the Quarterfinals at M25 Sharm ElSheikh on Hard.
Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Daniil Ostapenkov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Daniil Sarksian (May 25).
Leo Borg is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Bellegy (Jun 1).
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