WTA 500 · Round of 16 · San Diego
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,233 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.78 |
| ROI % | - | -41.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Collins
2
Ostapenko
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Collins and Ostapenko posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | L 57 46 | L 26 62 26 |
| Camila Osorio | W 63 62 | W 63 61 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 46 67 | L 57 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 0% | 59.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 66.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 43.4% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 6.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 0% | 40.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 0% | 57.2% |
| BP Converted % | 0% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 0% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Danielle Collins and Jelena Ostapenko face off in the Round of 16 at San Diego on Hard.
Danielle Collins leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Danielle Collins is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jaqueline Cristian (Aug 25).
Jelena Ostapenko is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magda Linette (May 27).
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