ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Turin
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Altmaier
🎯 Baseliner
Cerundolo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,373 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniel Altmaier here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | -7.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | -0.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Altmaier
3
Cerundolo
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · Round of 128
Feb 10, 2026
IEB+ Argentina Open
C Clay · Round of 32
May 15, 2025
Turin
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 4, 2021
Como
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 18, 2021
Luedenscheid
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2021
Concepcion
C Clay · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Altmaier | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Altmaier's 50%).
| Opponent | Altmaier | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | L 46 67 | W 16 64 62 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 61 64 | W 62 26 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 06 | L 67 63 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 46 | L 36 46 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 46 63 75 | L 46 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 36 61 | W 64 67 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 46 67 | L 64 36 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 63 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 63 75 | W 62 16 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Altmaier | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.4% | 62.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.8% | 63.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.1% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 52.2% |
| BP Converted % | 44% | 52.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.4 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.6 | 29.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72% | 73% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 59% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 16
Marin Cilic
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Tomas Machac
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Fabian Marozsan
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Daniel Altmaier
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Brandon Nakashima
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jesper de Jong
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Giulio Zeppieri
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Match summary
Daniel Altmaier meets Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Round of 128 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 22, 2026. The clay-court tournament will feature Altmaier, ranked 55th, against Cerundolo, who sits at 67th in the rankings. This outdoor clay encounter marks their fifth professional meeting.
Cerundolo leads the head-to-head record 3-1 after four previous meetings. The pair have competed multiple times on clay, and their rivalry reflects competitive balance in certain stretches, though Cerundolo holds the overall record. Both players have faced overlapping competition on the tour, with mixed results against common opponents.
Cerundolo arrives in stronger recent form, posting a 60 percent win rate over his last five matches and 60 percent over ten matches. Altmaier has won 60 percent of his last ten but only 40 percent of his last five, entering this clay-court meeting after one loss. Cerundolo played three matches in the last fourteen days, while Altmaier competed in two during the same span.
On clay, Cerundolo has compiled a 14-6 record at 70 percent, while Altmaier holds a 12-8 mark at 60 percent. Altmaier operates primarily from the baseline, constructing points through consistent groundstroke exchanges. Cerundolo combines aggressive ball-striking with physical movement and defensive recovery, making him a durable competitor across rallies. Both players bring distinct baseline strengths to this outdoor clay surface.
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