ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Altmaier
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,731 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniel Altmaier plays Denis Shapovalov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -13.7% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Altmaier
1
Shapovalov
Sep 24, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 4, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Altmaier has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Altmaier | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 76 36 46 02 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 63 | L 76 46 57 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 76 64 | L 64 46 67 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 67 | W 76 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 06 26 | L 36 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 16 46 63 75 | W 62 36 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 57 36 | W 57 64 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 63 75 | L 36 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 62 76 | W 67 60 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Altmaier | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.3% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.5% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.7% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.7% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.3 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.7 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.2% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 15
Daniil Medvedev
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Frances Tiafoe
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Daniel Altmaier and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at Tokyo on Hard.
Daniel Altmaier leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Daniel Altmaier is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 17).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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