ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Kigali
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Denolly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Merwe
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 3,180 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Corentin Denolly here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Denolly | Merwe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +42.8% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.42u | -1.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Denolly
0
Merwe
Oct 13, 2025
M25 Kigali
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 6, 2025
M25 Kigali
C Clay · Round of 16
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Denolly | Merwe |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.5% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 66.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 58.8% | 53% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71.4% | 48.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.7% | 33.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.8% | 55.5% |
| BP Converted % | 55.7% | 46.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.4% | 52% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 79% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Corentin Denolly and Marc Van Der Merwe face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Kigali on Clay.
Corentin Denolly leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Corentin Denolly is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jan Kumstat (Jun 17).
Marc Van Der Merwe is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Orel Kimhi (Jun 1).
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