Grand Slam · Round of 32 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,473 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Casper Ruud here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +7.4% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.56u | -0.48u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Ruud
2
Paul
Mar 14, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2023
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 3, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 30, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Aug 1, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ruud's 80%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 63 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 62 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | L 63 36 26 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 61 16 62 | W 63 36 76 36 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 62 36 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 46 67 | W 61 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 61 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | W 46 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 63.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46% | 49.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50% | 40.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.3% | 46.4% |
| BP Converted % | 34.9% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.1 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.7 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.6% | 73.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.4% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Mariano Navone
Gonet Geneva Open · Semifinals
May 19
Alexei Popyrin
Gonet Geneva Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 16
Luciano Darderi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 15
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matchup overview
Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 32 at US Open on Hard.
Casper Ruud leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roman Safiullin (May 25).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Rinky Hijikata (May 25).
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