ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Agut
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,200 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Roberto Bautista Agut.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | -43.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -5.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Alcaraz
0
Agut
Jun 21, 2025
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 14, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Agut's 17%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | L 26 57 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 76 36 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 57 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | L 46 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 67 16 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 67.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 71.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 55.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 34.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 37.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.8 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 25.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Hynek Barton
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Brandon Nakashima
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Roberto Bautista Agut face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Roberto Bautista Agut is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Raphael Collignon (Jun 14).
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