ATP Masters 1000 · Quarterfinals · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 589 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrey Rublev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -15.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | -2.73u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
5
Alcaraz
1
Rublev
Feb 20, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 7, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Nov 13, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 1, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 15, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 30%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 26 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | L 26 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 64 | W 36 62 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 36 76 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 46 16 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 26 76 26 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 76 57 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 57 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.6% | 69.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.9% | 52.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.5% | 54.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.1% | 31.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58.4% | 53% |
| BP Converted % | 53.8% | 44.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.5 | 22.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.6 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 62.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 71% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Nuno Borges
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev face off in the Quarterfinals at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 5-1 over 6 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jakub Mensik (May 31).
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