ATP 500 · Semifinals · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | +8.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Alcaraz
0
Molcan
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Molcan's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 46 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 64 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 61.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 62.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 32% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 51.2% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 46.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 18.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.4 | 28.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.5% | 72.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 50.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 83% | 76% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Fabian Marozsan
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 22
Murphy Cassone
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Ziga Sesko
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Sebastian Baez
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Hynek Barton
Unicredit Czech Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Molcan face off in the Semifinals at Hamburg on Clay.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Alex Molcan is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Fabian Marozsan (Jun 22).
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