WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 61% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 178 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Diana Shnaider here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–0 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | +0.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kalinskaya
0
Shnaider
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kalinskaya and Shnaider posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | W 61 26 75 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 64 63 | L 26 67 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 61 | W 36 75 61 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | L 46 61 06 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 62 46 | L 63 36 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 16 26 | W 63 60 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 26 62 | W 63 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 46 | W 26 61 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kalinskaya | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.4% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.6% | 63.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.2% | 41.7% |
| Aces / Match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 45.3% | 52.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 36.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.8% | 49.5% |
| BP Converted % | 48.4% | 40.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anna Kalinskaya and Diana Shnaider face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Anna Kalinskaya leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Anna Kalinskaya is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jelena Ostapenko (May 5).
Diana Shnaider is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Talia Gibson (May 5).
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