WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 483 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.83 |
| ROI % | - | -2.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Sevastova
0
Ostapenko
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 22, 2019
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sevastova's 33%).
| Opponent | Sevastova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | W 63 46 64 | L |
| Simona Waltert | L 36 36 | W 62 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 36 64 61 | L 64 36 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 46 16 | W 64 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 06 | L 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sevastova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 0% | 58.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 66.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 43.9% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 7.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 0% | 41.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 0% | 61.1% |
| BP Converted % | 0% | 56.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 0% | 53% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anastasija Sevastova and Jelena Ostapenko face off in the Round of 64 at Madrid on Clay.
Anastasija Sevastova leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Anastasija Sevastova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aliona Falei (Nov 24).
Jelena Ostapenko is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magda Linette (May 27).
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