Alexis GalarneauvsFrancesco Maestrelli

June 15, 2026G Grass

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Galarneau

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Maestrelli

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Alexis Galarneau and Francesco Maestrelli are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 2,920 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Galarneau	Maestrelli
W-L	7–8	0–8
Avg odds	2.00	2.49
ROI %	-19.3%	-100.0%
Units P/L	-2.89u	-8.00u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting

Galarneau

Maestrelli

May 21, 2022

Francavilla al Mare

C Clay · Semifinals

7⁷6⁴

Maestrelli

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Galarneau's 43%).

Opponent	Galarneau	Maestrelli
Rio Noguchi	W 64 62	W 36 76 62
Murphy Cassone	W 64 26 64	L 67 46
Stefano Napolitano	L 26 76 46	W 63 76
Emil Ruusuvuori	W 76 62	W 64 36 76
Hugo Gaston	L 46 63 46	L 67 16
Luka Pavlovic	L 67 36	W 76 64
Dino Prizmic	L 67 16	L 36 46

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Galarneau	Maestrelli
Serve
1st Serve In %	60.9%	62.7%
1st Serve Pts Won %	65.8%	69.9%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	47.7%	44.6%
Aces / Match	3.5	3.1
Double Faults / Match	3.4	3.7
Break Points Saved %	50.4%	62.3%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	29.5%	37.7%
2nd Return Pts Won %	46.3%	59.1%
BP Converted %	46.7%	45%
Rally
Winners / Match	23.1	18.6
Unforced Errors / Match	34.6	35.3
Net Pts Won %	65.6%	54.5%
Total Pts Won %	47.2%	52.2%
Surface (Grass)
Grass Win %	0%	0%