ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Matteo Arnaldi here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | +40.5% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.11u | +8.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Molcan
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Molcan's 33%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 46 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 64 60 | W 76 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 61 46 26 | W 62 63 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 67 46 | L 06 63 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 76 | W 46 62 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 36 | L 76 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Molcan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.2% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.5% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.7% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.9 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.3 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.2% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Alex Molcan and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 32 at Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank on Clay.
Alex Molcan leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex Molcan is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Baez (Jun 7).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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