ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Almaty
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,675 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Michelsen here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–8 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.64 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +0.4% | -19.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -1.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Michelsen
0
Mochizuki
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mochizuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Coleman Wong | W 64 62 | L 67 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | L 46 57 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 64 46 36 75 36 | L 16 63 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 75 | L 64 36 26 26 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 36 26 46 | L 46 76 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Michelsen | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.8% | 55.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 65.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 42.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.7 | 3.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.7% | 38.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.7% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.1% | 53.4% |
| BP Converted % | 36.3% | 52.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.5 | 23.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.9 | 39.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.1% | 69.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 47.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 75% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Stan Wawrinka
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Sebastian Baez
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Sebastian Ofner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Pol Martin Tiffon
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 16
Apr 30
Jacob Fearnley
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Keegan Smith
Morelia Open · Round of 32
Mar 23
Jay Clarke
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Mariano Navone
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 16
Mar 12
Nicolas Mejia
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 11
Matchup overview
Alex Michelsen and Shintaro Mochizuki face off in the Quarterfinals at Almaty on Hard.
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex Michelsen is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 16).
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jacob Fearnley (May 6).
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