ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Estoril
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Pellegrino
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Michelsen here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.96 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | +81.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | +12.28u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Michelsen
0
Pellegrino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Pellegrino posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Michelsen | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | W 63 64 | L 36 75 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 26 36 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | L 46 63 36 | W 64 64 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 62 | L 16 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | L 61 36 46 46 | W 76 67 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Michelsen | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.6% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 56.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.8% | 52.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.1% | 35.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 53.8% |
| BP Converted % | 36.6% | 54.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.8 | 20.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 25.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.1% | 58.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 46% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pierluigi Basile
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Roberto Carballes Baena
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Maks Kasnikowski
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Flavio Cobolli
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Alex Michelsen and Andrea Pellegrino face off in the Finals at Estoril on Clay.
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex Michelsen is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 29).
Andrea Pellegrino is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Merida (Jun 6).
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