ATP 500 · Finals · Washington
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
⚙️ Grinder
Fokina
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 398 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -19.2% | -24.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | -2.65u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
4
Minaur
3
Fokina
May 13, 2026
Bitpanda Hamburg Open
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 27, 2025
Washington
H Hard · Finals
Aug 12, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 15, 2022
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Nov 7, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 8, 2018
Lisbon
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 60%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 16 16 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 76 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 75 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 36 75 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 61 46 63 76 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 46 | W 63 76 57 46 64 |
| Filip Misolic | W 64 64 | W 62 63 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.9% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.1% | 69.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.2% | 54.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.9% | 48.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.8% | 30.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 32.2% | 39% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 21.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.5 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.4% | 71.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 51% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Luciano Darderi
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Francisco Cerundolo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Matteo Arnaldi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Corentin Moutet
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Cristian Garin
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Casper Ruud
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina face off in the Finals at Washington on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 4-3 over 7 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tommy Paul (May 19).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (May 13).
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