Alex BoltvsKeegan Smith

June 8, 2026G Grass

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Bolt

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Smith

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,630 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex Bolt plays Keegan Smith.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Bolt	Smith
W-L	10–7	10–7
Avg odds	2.36	1.98
ROI %	+12.1%	+3.5%
Units P/L	+2.05u	+0.59u

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings

Bolt

Smith

May 1, 2026

Jiangxi Open

H Hard · Quarterfinals

7⁷6⁵

Bolt

Feb 28, 2023

Waco

H Hard · Round of 32

Bolt

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bolt's 40%).

Opponent	Bolt	Smith
Rio Noguchi	W 76 76	W 63 46 62
Philip Sekulic	W 62 61	W 62 75
Yunchaokete Bu	L 57 26	L 46 57
Sho Shimabukuro	L 26 76 36	W 57 60 63
Zachary Svajda	L 76 67 57	L 67 46

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Bolt	Smith
Serve
1st Serve In %	62%	71%
1st Serve Pts Won %	73.5%	74.4%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	53.4%	56.5%
Aces / Match	6.3	6.5
Double Faults / Match	1.4	2.1
Break Points Saved %	67.5%	66.8%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	27.3%	28.7%
2nd Return Pts Won %	45.6%	45.7%
BP Converted %	38.4%	34.7%
Rally
Winners / Match	26.7	25.8
Unforced Errors / Match	31.1	24.5
Net Pts Won %	71.9%	56.3%
Total Pts Won %	49.6%	51.7%
Surface (Grass)
Grass Win %	100%	0%