Aleksandar KovacevicvsMarcos Giron

April 28, 2026C Clay

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kovacevic

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Giron

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 5,607 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aleksandar Kovacevic here.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Kovacevic	Giron
W-L	5–9	6–6
Avg odds	2.43	1.98
ROI %	-29.6%	-26.3%
Units P/L	-4.14u	-3.16u

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting

Kovacevic

Giron

Mar 8, 2023

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells

H Hard · Round of 128

Giron

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Giron has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kovacevic's 33%).

Opponent	Kovacevic	Giron
Aleksandar Vukic	L 46 76 26	W 64 16 61
Corentin Moutet	W 61 64	W 46 63 64
Hubert Hurkacz	W 76 76	L 36 61 16
Denis Shapovalov	L 46 46	L 76 06 67
Brandon Nakashima	L 67 46	W 76 61
Alexander Zverev	L 16 67	L 26 16

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Kovacevic	Giron
Serve
1st Serve In %	62.9%	65.9%
1st Serve Pts Won %	78.1%	69.1%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	55.1%	50.3%
Aces / Match	12.3	8.5
Double Faults / Match	2.3	2.3
Break Points Saved %	64%	64%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	21.3%	23.8%
2nd Return Pts Won %	45.4%	42.5%
BP Converted %	34.3%	30.4%
Rally
Winners / Match	28.8	27.5
Unforced Errors / Match	25.9	33.7
Net Pts Won %	61.3%	72%
Total Pts Won %	50.4%	47%
Surface (Clay)
Clay Win %	0%	0%