ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Vale do Lobo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gray
👑 The Complete Package
Luque
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 874 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alastair Gray here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gray | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 4.87 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.10u | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Gray
0
Luque
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gray has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Luque's 33%).
| Opponent | Gray | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Giles Hussey | W 63 64 | L 46 63 67 |
| Tiago Cacao | W 61 75 | W 62 46 61 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | W 61 75 | L 63 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gray | Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 69.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.7% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54% | 46.4% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.7% | 62.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.5% | 38% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 48.9% |
| BP Converted % | 35% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.2 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 57.3% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 92% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
August Holmgren
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 15
Henry Jefferson
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Filippo Romano
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Edward Winter
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Matchup overview
Alastair Gray and Rafael Izquierdo Luque face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Vale do Lobo on Hard.
Alastair Gray leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alastair Gray is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (Jun 20).
Rafael Izquierdo Luque is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (Jun 13).
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