ITF M25 · Semifinals · M25 Luzhou
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gray
👑 The Complete Package
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,189 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luca Castelnuovo here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gray | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -80.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.10u | -5.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Gray
0
Castelnuovo
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Gray and Castelnuovo posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Gray | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | L 63 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| James Mccabe | W 06 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Leo Borg | W 61 62 | L 06 26 |
| Kuan Yi Lee | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 76 67 36 | W 16 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gray | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 57.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.7% | 76.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54% | 61.1% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.7% | 59.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| BP Converted % | 35% | 49.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.2 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 57.3% | 87.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 54.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 92% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
August Holmgren
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 15
Henry Jefferson
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Filippo Romano
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Edward Winter
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Franco Agamenone
Intaro Open · Round of 32
Jun 22
Milos Karol
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Fares Zakaria
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
RISE CENTURION OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 1
Matchup overview
Alastair Gray and Luca Castelnuovo face off in the Semifinals at M25 Luzhou on Hard.
Alastair Gray leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alastair Gray is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (Jun 20).
Luca Castelnuovo is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Franco Agamenone (Jun 22).
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