WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Stanford
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,968 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -44.6% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.01u | +10.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Tomljanovic
2
Keys
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 2, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Aug 3, 2015
Stanford
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tomljanovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | W |
| Caty Mcnally | W | W 26 63 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W |
| Donna Vekic | L 63 16 46 | W 62 63 |
| Anna Bondar | W 76 64 | W 62 75 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 60 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 76 46 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 76 63 | L 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tomljanovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.8% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 57.4% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 36.7% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 8.3 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.6% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.1% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 62.5% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 49.2% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.9% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Ajla Tomljanovic and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 16 at Stanford on Hard.
Ajla Tomljanovic leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Veronika Erjavec (Jun 21).
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
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