ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Edwardsville IL
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mchugh
⚔️ The Gladiator
Vandecasteele
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 59% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,493 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aidan Mchugh here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mchugh | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -20.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -3.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Mchugh
1
Vandecasteele
Jul 28, 2025
M25 Edwardsville IL
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 21, 2025
M25 Champaign IL
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vandecasteele has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Mchugh's 57%).
| Opponent | Mchugh | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Arutiunian | W 75 63 | W 62 63 |
| Joshua Sheehy | W 64 67 63 | W 63 64 |
| Justin Boulais | L 67 57 | W 62 64 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 61 67 36 | W 76 63 |
| Keegan Smith | L 67 67 | W 76 64 |
| Jeremy Zhang | W 67 63 75 | L 57 46 |
| Noah Schachter | W 63 60 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mchugh | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.6% | 61.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 52.6% | 65.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.4% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 1 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.6% | 61% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 35.3% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 50% | 43.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 9.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 21.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 44.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 42.2% | 50.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Gavin Goode
M15 Vero Beach FL · Round of 32
May 4
Alexander Ritschard
Lexus Nottingham Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 5
Joshua Sheehy
Lexus Nottingham Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4
Hiroki Sakagawa
M25 Austin TX · Round of 32
Nov 17
Andreja Petrovic
M25 Austin TX · Semifinals
Nov 17
Cruz Hewitt
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Kaichi Uchida
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Aidan Kim
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matchup overview
Aidan Mchugh and Quinn Vandecasteele face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Edwardsville IL on Hard.
Aidan Mchugh leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Aidan Mchugh is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Gavin Goode (May 4).
Quinn Vandecasteele is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Cruz Hewitt (Jun 15).
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