Varvara Panshina vs Zhuoxuan BaiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Qian Daohu
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 1:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.29 or shorter, Zhuoxuan Bai has won 14 of 16 (88%). The price implied 78%, so Zhuoxuan Bai has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Zhuoxuan Bai and Varvara Panshina meet in the first round of the W35 Qian Daohu on hard court Wednesday. Bai, ranked 203rd, comes in off a loss after playing twice in 12 days. Panshina sits at 372nd and has been more active, with four matches in her last 14 days.
The two have no head-to-head record. Against common opponents, results split unevenly: Bai defeated Hong Yi Cody Wong and Lizette Cabrera while losing to Kyoka Okamura and Yufei Ren. Panshina went the opposite direction on three of those four names, beating Okamura and Ren but falling to Wong and Cabrera. Panshina has won 7 of her last 10 matches overall; Bai has gone 5-5 in the same span.
Bai relies on consistency and court positioning to build points, while Panshina generates pace off the ground. On hard court, Bai holds a 60% win rate in her recent sample, Panshina 55%. Both players come in having lost their most recent match, so the first set will test which can stabilize rhythm and execution earliest.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Panshina | Bai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Varvara Panshina | Zhuoxuan Bai | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 36% | 16/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 73% | 19/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Panshina
💥 Big Hitter
Bai
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,145 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Panshina and Bai have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Panshina | Bai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Varvara Panshina | Zhuoxuan Bai | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Panshina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +11.8% | -4.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.18u | -0.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Panshina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | COL → MEX | ROU → MEX |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Panshina and Bai posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Panshina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Kyoka Okamura | W 46 63 62 | L 16 67 |
| Jiayi Wang | W 63 63 | W 61 60 |
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | L 64 26 26 | W 76 63 |
| Yufei Ren | W 64 16 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jiaqi Wang | L 36 46 | L |
| Lizette Cabrera | L 46 36 | W 64 62 |
| Jia Jing Lu | W 61 63 | W 62 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Egorova
W15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Soo Ha Jang
W15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Liuyan An
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Beatrice Ricci
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Xinran Sun
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Emerson Jones
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Moyuka Uchijima
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jiayi Wang
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mina Hodzic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Sijia Wei
W35 Shenyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hong Yi Cody Wong
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–55 matches
| Metric | Panshina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 66% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |